Ray Dalio says the change in World Order is a Big Cycle, and has these stages indicating the rise and fall of a world order.ġ) War creates an order with one country becoming the leader – In World War II Allied Powers won the war, and the United States became the leader.Ĩ) Revolution – Internal conflict occurs because of the Wealth Gapĩ) Wars – an outside power becomes more powerful and takes over as world leader The weaker they are, the more likely you are or soon no longer be on the top. He says the stronger all these are, the more likely you will stay on the top of the World Order. They are:Ĩ) Strength of Their Currency as a Reserve Currency Ray Dalio basically says that there are 8 strengths a country has that can determine how strong it is in terms of staying at the top of the World Order. How to Measure a Country’s Health – Whether it is Rising or Falling He uses charts of various world events and the valuations of their currencies and then simplifies these charts into these cycles of up and down. He shows similar Empires from the past, the Dutch, British, and the United States, and the upcoming Empire which he believes to be China. Here is a Summary of Principles For Dealing With The Changing World Order by Ray Dalio, which popped up as an ad on a Youtube video by investor Marin Katusa.įirst off, it is 43 minutes long, so you probably just want to watch it yourself! World Orders Always Change in a Cycleįirst, Ray Dalio basically says that the United States is an Empire on the decline and China is on the rise and will eventually become the new World Leader.
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